Friday, November 29, 2013
Monday, November 25, 2013
Is Time Running Out For The Eurozone?
John Mauldin thinks that "we should confine the leaders of Europe to a far-northern Scandinavian
hotel with hard beds and minimal amenities until they resolve their
problems."...because "deflation is back and winter is coming"...
He fears that France may be a likely, and perhaps fatal, shock.
Wolf Richter is in similar mode He highlights, and comments on, a study by Natixis (grateful as I don't speak French) in a post titled (it says it all) French Megabank: “Germany Should Leave The Eurozone”
Speaking of France, Prof John Gaffney at the LSE/EUROPPBLOG says "that François Hollande has failed to project a clear and effective public persona and that his presidency is now on the verge of unravelling."
(Disclosure: It has been some months now that I have progressively moved towards a Euro-skeptic, dangerously approaching the anti-Euro position... ha!)
He fears that France may be a likely, and perhaps fatal, shock.
Wolf Richter is in similar mode He highlights, and comments on, a study by Natixis (grateful as I don't speak French) in a post titled (it says it all) French Megabank: “Germany Should Leave The Eurozone”
Speaking of France, Prof John Gaffney at the LSE/EUROPPBLOG says "that François Hollande has failed to project a clear and effective public persona and that his presidency is now on the verge of unravelling."
(Disclosure: It has been some months now that I have progressively moved towards a Euro-skeptic, dangerously approaching the anti-Euro position... ha!)
Saturday, November 23, 2013
Reuters Exclusive: Euro zone mulls cheap loans as incentive for economic reforms - document
Luke Baker has a scoop. He obtained a copy
of the document, prepared by the chairman of European Union leaders Herman Van Rompuy, will form the basis of discussions between senior euro zone officials at a meeting in Brussels on Wednesday, Nov.27th, to prepare for next month's European Union summit.
of the document, prepared by the chairman of European Union leaders Herman Van Rompuy, will form the basis of discussions between senior euro zone officials at a meeting in Brussels on Wednesday, Nov.27th, to prepare for next month's European Union summit.
Wednesday, November 20, 2013
The Eurozone is not suffering from an economic crisis, but a crisis of national politics
Sonia Alonso (Research Fellow at the Social Science Research Center Berlin (WZB) views things from some very interesting angles in a post at the LSE?EUROPP
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
Can The Eurozone Be Saved? LBJ School, Univ.of Austin, Tx
The videos of the conference organised by James Galbraith and Yianis Varoufakis were made available
Two notes, without comment.
1. Giwrgos Stathakis : ... "(b) The main cause of the economic destruction of Greece is not the problems of the Greek economy prior to 2008. It is the programme itself, (c) The programme itself does not arrest none (sic) of the problems prior to 2008"
2. Yves Leterne (Deputy Secr.Gen. of OECD, Belgia PM in Spring 2010) ... The decision to support Greece was a political one"
Monday, November 18, 2013
P. Boone & S. Johnson d/d Apr.6 2010 "Greece And The Fatal Flaw In An IMF Rescue"
Peter Boone and Simon Johnson Apr.6 2010
Two informed realists explain (present tense)
Their essay ends so
Two informed realists explain (present tense)
Their essay ends so
Where next for Greece?
Mr. Trichet understands that Greece’s problems reflect a dangerous flaw in the euro zone system, and the solution will set the tone for behaviour of other members for years to come. He’ll want his pound of flesh before this is done. The IMF staff surely understands that Greece’s economic problems are critical, and require drastic actions, but the IMF’s managing director just wants to survive to be elected a new President of France in 2012.
The German population detests providing bailouts to periphery nations, while the debtors of the Euro zone would like the same game to continue a little bit longer. Meanwhile, the Greeks continue to drag their feet on serious reform while claiming to be “courageous”– presumably they are hoping, magically, that markets will start to want to lend to them again at very low rates in the midst of a fiscal program with little hope for long term success. It all seems horribly reminiscent to those early days when Argentina slid towards a cruel collapse.
Friday, November 15, 2013
Ιρλανδία, Τέλος η Τρόικα το Μνημόνιο II
Η ανακοίνωση του Υπ.Οικ. της Ιρλανδίας
Three years after going cap in hand to international lenders, Ireland got the green light on Thursday to step out on its own as the first euro zone country to exit its bailout programme.
Colm McCarthy says a) Budget discipline must continue as Troika exits and b) Crisis is nowhere near end despite all that austerity
Three years after going cap in hand to international lenders, Ireland got the green light on Thursday to step out on its own as the first euro zone country to exit its bailout programme.
The country of 4.6 million has endured five years of austerity with little of the unrest that has rocked Greece and Spain (χμ.. έχει η Ισπανία Μνημόνιο;)
Colm McCarthy says a) Budget discipline must continue as Troika exits and b) Crisis is nowhere near end despite all that austerity
Wednesday, November 13, 2013
Francesco Saraceno (sort of) agrees with Olli Rehn!
Olli Rehn wrote a balanced piece on Germany’s current account surplus.
Isn't it time to think about a "social dividend" by means of a tax credit for low-income people? After all their low income is partly the reason for Germany's current account surplus.
Isn't it time to think about a "social dividend" by means of a tax credit for low-income people? After all their low income is partly the reason for Germany's current account surplus.
Tuesday, November 12, 2013
Monday, November 11, 2013
Yves Leterme, Deputy Secretary General of the OECD "How To Address The Eurozone Problems?"
Watch the Deputy Secretary-General of the OECD, Yves Leterme, discuss the current woes of the Eurozone and how to address them. This speech was recorded at the conference ‘Can the Eurozone be saved?’ at the LBJ School of Public Affairs at the University of Austin, USA on 4th November 2013.
(loose quote) : "the decision of May 7th 2010 to show solidarity to Greece was not always and for all people sitting at the table based on economic issues.... it was a political decision...."
(loose quote) : "the decision of May 7th 2010 to show solidarity to Greece was not always and for all people sitting at the table based on economic issues.... it was a political decision...."
Sunday, November 10, 2013
Thursday, November 7, 2013
Wednesday, November 6, 2013
Tuesday, November 5, 2013
Germany V The World
a growing chorus of international critics warns that Germany’s trade surplus is endangering global growth, and putting Germany’s own future at risk.
(Bloomberg)
German government representatives turn the argument around, saying that the problems in Southern Europe are not Germany's fault. On the contrary, says Berlin, countries like Greece, Italy and Spain have only themselves to blame for their troubles because they spent years living beyond their means and at the expense of their own competitiveness.
(Der Spiegel)
Francesco Saraceno's verdict on Germany : guilty as charged
While Melvyn Krauss dissents
(Bloomberg)
German government representatives turn the argument around, saying that the problems in Southern Europe are not Germany's fault. On the contrary, says Berlin, countries like Greece, Italy and Spain have only themselves to blame for their troubles because they spent years living beyond their means and at the expense of their own competitiveness.
(Der Spiegel)
Francesco Saraceno's verdict on Germany : guilty as charged
While Melvyn Krauss dissents
Monday, November 4, 2013
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