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Tuesday, March 17, 2015

Will this time be different for Greece? Miroslav Beblavý CEPS

Will this time be different for Greece? How to assess its ability to deliver on the reform agenda | The Centre for European Policy Studies

...the author presents a simple analytical framework that can be used to assess the likelihood that a government will deliver on its reform agenda. Its purpose is not to allow for a precise probabilistic calculation, but to enable better structuring of the knowledge we have. It emphasises that the change depends NOT only on the capacity of the state to design and deliver policies, but even more crucially on state autonomy from both illegitimate and legitimate interests and cognitive models used by policy-makers to make sense of the world.

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